Per-game numbers from 3 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026
Iraq prediction: Bawler's model rates Iraq at 1.01 expected goals scored and 1.84 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 60% of the time. They have lost their last 4 settled matches. No Iraq fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Iraq are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.84 expected goals a game against a World Cup average of 1.38. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.40 goals a game against 1.01 expected. Recent form is poor — 4 defeats in a row. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Iraq have been correct 60% of the time.
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →
How Iraq compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.