Bawler / World: World Cup / Saudi Arabia
Team profile

Saudi Arabia Prediction

Per-game numbers from 3 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
5.0
a game
18.5 faced
On target
2.0
a game
5.0 faced
Goals
0.3 – 1.7
scored – conceded
a game, 3 matches
Corners
1.5
a game
5.0 against

Saudi Arabia prediction: Bawler's model rates Saudi Arabia at 1.11 expected goals scored and 1.42 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 86% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 1W 3D 1L. No Saudi Arabia fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Saudi Arabia sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.11 expected goals a game and conceding 1.42. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.71 goals a game against 1.11 expected. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Saudi Arabia have been correct 86% of the time.

Saudi Arabia in numbers

3 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.7
Home 1.0Away 0.0
1.5
Corners · per game
give up 5.0
Away 1.5
5.0
Shots · per game
faced 18.5
Away 5.0
2.0
On target · per game
faced 5.0
Away 2.0
Last 3 games
27 Jun
0-0
@ Cape Verde
2-4
21 Jun
0-4
@ Spain
1-6
15 Jun
1-1
vs Uruguay
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Saudi Arabia compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.11
Below average
Goals against
1.42
Leakier than most
Record
1W 3D 3L
7 settled
Real goals
0.7 – 1.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.11
Conceded1.42

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.11 xG per match · -0.21 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Saudi Arabia fixtures (3/3).

How Bawler has done on Saudi Arabia

86%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 7, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4
Result100%3/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 7)

More on Saudi Arabia and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly