Bawler / World: World Cup / Tunisia
Team profile

Tunisia Prediction

Per-game numbers from 3 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
6.0
a game
15.5 faced
On target
2.0
a game
6.0 faced
Goals
0.7 – 4.0
scored – conceded
a game, 3 matches
Corners
3.5
a game
5.5 against

Tunisia prediction: Bawler's model rates Tunisia at 1.05 expected goals scored and 1.78 conceded per match across 4 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have lost their last 4 settled matches. No Tunisia fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Tunisia are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.78 expected goals a game against a World Cup average of 1.38. Recent form is poor — 4 defeats in a row. Across 4 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Tunisia have been correct 100% of the time.

Tunisia in numbers

3 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.7
Goals · per game
let in 4.0
Home 0.5Away 1.0
3.5
Corners · per game
give up 5.5
Home 3.5
6.0
Shots · per game
faced 15.5
Home 6.0
2.0
On target · per game
faced 6.0
Home 2.0
Last 3 games
25 Jun
1-3
vs Netherlands
4-6
21 Jun
0-4
vs Japan
3-5
15 Jun
1-5
@ Sweden
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Tunisia compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.05
Below average
Goals against
1.78
Leakier than most
Record
0W 0D 4L
4 settled
Real goals
0.5 – 4.3
For / against, per match
Scored1.05
Conceded1.78

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.05 xG per match · -0.27 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.78 xG per match · +0.39 vs league average of 1.38.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Tunisia fixtures (4/4).
4-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

Recent matches (last 4)

More on Tunisia and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly