FT · SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League · Sunday, 30 August 2026

Al Qadsiah 3–1 Al-FaisalyMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 30 August 2026

Al Qadsiah
3–1
Al Qadsiah win
Al-Faisaly

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Qadsiah to win at 76%. Bawler had Al Qadsiah at 76%, the draw at 15% and Al-Faisaly at 9%. The match finished 3–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Qadsiah win
76%
Result
Draw
15%
Al-Faisaly win
9%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.7 – 0.9
Total 3.6
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.2 – 0.7
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 3.6.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Al Qadsiah to win
Pre-match: 76%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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