Al Qadsiah beat Al-Faisaly 3–1. Bawler's model had Al Qadsiah in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Al Qadsiah had 17 shots (9 on target) to Al-Faisaly's 5 (2), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Qadsiah beat Al-Faisaly 3–1. Bawler's model had Al Qadsiah in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Al Qadsiah had 17 shots (9 on target) to Al-Faisaly's 5 (2), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.7.
Al Qadsiah 3–1 Al-Faisaly, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Qadsiah 76%, the draw 15% and Al-Faisaly 9%.
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.7, Shots 17–5, Shots on target 9–2, Shots inside box 13–2, Big chances 6–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 1–7, Fouls 12–7, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 0–3.
Yes — both Al Qadsiah and Al-Faisaly scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Qadsiah to win 76%, it finished Al Qadsiah won (76% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes.