How it finished
Algeria beat Niger 2–1. Bawler's model had Algeria in front at 87% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Algeria had 18 shots (8 on target) to Niger's 6 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Algeria vs Niger?
Algeria beat Niger 2–1. Bawler's model had Algeria in front at 87% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Algeria had 18 shots (8 on target) to Niger's 6 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%.
What was the final score in Algeria vs Niger?
Algeria 2–1 Niger, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Algeria 87%, the draw 10% and Niger 3%.
What were the stats in Algeria vs Niger?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Shots 18–6, Shots on target 8–4, Corners 6–5, Fouls 15–17, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Algeria vs Niger?
Yes — both Algeria and Niger scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 31% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Algeria vs Niger right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Algeria to win 87%, it finished Algeria won (87% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 31%, it finished Yes.