Bawler / World: World Cup / Algeria
Team profile

Algeria Prediction

Per-game numbers from 4 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.3
a game
9.7 faced
On target
5.0
a game
4.0 faced
Goals
1.3 – 2.3
scored – conceded
a game, 4 matches
Corners
4.0
a game
2.7 against

Algeria prediction: Bawler's model rates Algeria at 1.18 expected goals scored and 1.28 conceded per match across 8 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 63% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No Algeria fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Algeria sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.18 expected goals a game and conceding 1.28. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.13 a game against 1.18 expected. Across 8 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Algeria have been correct 63% of the time.

Algeria in numbers

4 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 2.3
Home 3.0Away 0.7
4.0
Corners · per game
give up 2.7
Home 0.0Away 6.0
12.3
Shots · per game
faced 9.7
Home 12.0Away 12.5
5.0
On target · per game
faced 4.0
Home 5.0Away 5.0
Last 4 games
03 Jul
0-2
@ Switzerland
2-4
28 Jun
3-3
vs Austria
0-3
23 Jun
2-1
@ Jordan
10-1
17 Jun
0-3
@ Argentina
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Algeria compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.18
Below average
Goals against
1.28
Tighter than most
Record
4W 2D 2L
8 settled
Real goals
2.1 – 1.1
For / against, per match
Scored1.18
Conceded1.28

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

How Bawler has done on Algeria

63%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 8
Goals (Over/Under)57%4/7

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 8)

More on Algeria and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly