FT · Belgium: Pro League · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Anderlecht 3–0 Zulte-WaregemMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Anderlecht or draw at 72%. Bawler had Anderlecht at 47%, the draw at 25% and Zulte-Waregem at 28%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Anderlecht win
47%
Result
Draw
25%
Zulte-Waregem win
28%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.3
Total 3.0
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.6 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 79%
Landed
Medium confidence
Anderlecht or draw
Pre-match: 72%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 34%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Anderlecht's 0.38 expected-goals edge and 46% win probability underpin the high-confidence forecast for Over 1.5 Goals at 81%, suggesting both sides will combine for attacking output despite their mid-table standing."