Bawler / BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group / Anderlecht
Team profile

Anderlecht Prediction

Per-game numbers from 47 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
14.6
a game
13.7 faced
On target
5.0
a game
4.3 faced
Goals
1.4 – 1.6
scored – conceded
a game, 47 matches
Corners
5.7
a game
4.6 against

Anderlecht prediction: Bawler's model rates Anderlecht at 1.52 expected goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match across 12 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 83% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Anderlecht fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Anderlecht sit close to the Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.52 expected goals a game and conceding 1.60. Across 12 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Anderlecht have been correct 83% of the time.

Anderlecht in numbers

47 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
Home 1.8Away 1.1
5.7
Corners · per game
give up 4.6
Home 6.4Away 5.1
14.6
Shots · per game
faced 13.7
Home 17.2Away 12.2
5.0
On target · per game
faced 4.3
Home 5.9Away 4.2
Last 6 games
16 Aug
0-1
@ Beveren
12-1
16 Aug
0-1
@ Waasland-Beveren
12-1
13 Aug
3-2
vs PAOK
2-8
09 Aug
2-1
vs RAAL La Louvière
10-1
06 Aug
1-0
@ PAOK
1-5
24 May
1-5
@ Royale Union SG
1-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Anderlecht compare with the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group average, per match.

Goals for
1.52
Above average
Goals against
1.60
Leakier than most
Record
4W 2D 6L
12 settled
Real goals
1.5 – 2.2
For / against, per match
Scored1.52
Conceded1.60

The grey line on each bar is the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group average (1.36 scored, 1.47 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.52 xG per match · +0.16 above the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group average of 1.36.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Anderlecht fixtures (8/8).

How Bawler has done on Anderlecht

83%
of high-confidence calls correct — 10 of 12, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%8/8
Result67%2/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

INOliver AntmanRWfrom Rangers€5.2m
INLukás AmbrosCMfrom Górnik Zabrze€5m
INGiulian BianconeCBfrom Olympiacos€2.5m
INLéo PétrotCBfrom ElcheFree transfer
OUTNathan De CatDMto Hoffenheim€17m
OUTKeisuke GotoSTto Freiburg€10m
OUTLuis VázquezSTto Birmingham City€3.5m
OUTYari VerschaerenAMto Free agentFree transfer
OUTThorgan HazardAMto Free agentFree transfer
OUTIbrahim KanatéLWto KaiserslauternLoan
OUTAnas TajaouartDMto RAAL La LouviereLoan
OUTZoumana KeitaCBto RSCA FuturesUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Anderlecht and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly