FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 20 September 2026

Antwerp 0–2 Union St.-GilloiseMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 20 September 2026

Antwerp
0–2
Union St.-Gilloise win
Union St.-Gilloise

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Union St.-Gilloise or draw at 80%. Bawler had Antwerp at 20%, the draw at 23% and Union St.-Gilloise at 57%. The match finished 0–2.

Pre-match probability vs result

Antwerp win
20%
Draw
23%
Union St.-Gilloise win
57%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.1 – 2.0
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.4 – 3.3
From the match itself

The match produced 1.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 81%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 23%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Over 1.5 Goals lands at 76% because Union St.-Gilloise's 0.45 xG advantage compounds a low-scoring fixture into a likely multi-goal outcome."

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