How it finished
Union St.-Gilloise beat Antwerp 2–0. Bawler's model had Union St.-Gilloise in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Antwerp had 7 shots (1 on target) to Union St.-Gilloise's 21 (11), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 3.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Union St.-Gilloise beat Antwerp 2–0. Bawler's model had Union St.-Gilloise in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Antwerp had 7 shots (1 on target) to Union St.-Gilloise's 21 (11), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 3.3.
What was the final score in Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Antwerp 0–2 Union St.-Gilloise, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Antwerp 20%, the draw 23% and Union St.-Gilloise 57%.
What were the stats in Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–3.3, Shots 7–21, Shots on target 1–11, Shots inside box 3–18, Big chances 0–8, Corners 1–7, Saves 8–1, Fouls 16–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 5–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise?
No. It finished 0–2, so Antwerp failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Union St.-Gilloise or draw 80%, it finished Union St.-Gilloise won (57% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.