Before kickoff our call was Barnsley or draw at 69%. Bawler had Barnsley at 43%, the draw at 26% and Crewe Alexandra at 31%. The match finished 3–2.
The match produced 2.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.