How it finished
Barnsley beat Crewe Alexandra 3–2. Bawler's model had Barnsley in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Barnsley had 30 shots (8 on target) to Crewe Alexandra's 15 (9), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Barnsley vs Crewe Alexandra?
Barnsley beat Crewe Alexandra 3–2. Bawler's model had Barnsley in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Barnsley had 30 shots (8 on target) to Crewe Alexandra's 15 (9), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.3.
What was the final score in Barnsley vs Crewe Alexandra?
Barnsley 3–2 Crewe Alexandra, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Barnsley 43%, the draw 26% and Crewe Alexandra 31%.
What were the stats in Barnsley vs Crewe Alexandra?
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.3, Shots 30–15, Shots on target 8–9, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 1–1, Corners 20–6, Saves 6–5, Fouls 10–4, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Barnsley vs Crewe Alexandra?
Yes — both Barnsley and Crewe Alexandra scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Barnsley vs Crewe Alexandra right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Barnsley or draw 69%, it finished Barnsley won (43% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.