FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 29 August 2026

Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Queens Park RangersMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 29 August 2026

Blackburn Rovers
1–2
Queens Park Rangers win
Queens Park Rangers

Our call before kickoff

Our call missed

Before kickoff our call was Blackburn Rovers or draw at 70%. Bawler had Blackburn Rovers at 42%, the draw at 28% and Queens Park Rangers at 30%. The match finished 1–2.

Pre-match probability vs result

Blackburn Rovers win
42%
Draw
28%
Queens Park Rangers win
30%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.4 – 1.2
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.4 against our forecast)

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 2.6.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Blackburn Rovers or draw
Pre-match: 70%
Missed
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 52%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Blackburn's relegation fight gives them maximum urgency while QPR sit safe in mid-table with nothing at stake, yet the hosts' 0.36 xG advantage only translates to a 45% win forecast—making the Blackburn Rovers or draw prediction at 72% the model's call."

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