Before kickoff our call was Bosnia-Herzegovina or draw at 66%. Bawler had Bosnia-Herzegovina at 39%, the draw at 27% and Poland at 34%. The match finished 1–0.
The match produced 1.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.