Canada vQatar
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 74% because Canada's 1.49 xG and Qatar's 1.15 xG combine for a low-scoring script where both teams' creator and striker talent—Davies and David for the hosts, Afif and Ali for the visitors—will likely each find the net once.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Canada average 15.0 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). Qatar average 3.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Canada vs Qatar — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Canada and Qatar — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Canada 42% · draw 32% · Qatar 27%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.