CD Baztán vs Atlético Calatayud prediction — Copa del Rey · Sat 3 Oct · 16:30 UK

Copa del Rey · Sat 3 Oct · 16:30 UK
CD Baztán 47Draw 26Atlético Calatayud 27
Our call before kickoff
73%
CD Baztán or draw
Missed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Atlético Calatayud beat CD Baztán 2–1. Bawler's model favoured CD Baztán at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Atlético Calatayud 27%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. CD Baztán had 4 shots (2 on target) to Atlético Calatayud's 5 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%.

CD BaztánFull-time statsAtlético…
52%Possession48%
4Shots5
2Shots on target2
9Corners1
0Offsides0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCD Baztán or draw 73%Atlético Calatayud won (27% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

CD BaztánAtlético Calatayud
1.7
Goals+0.5
1.2
CD BaztánAtlético Calatayud
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
CD BaztánAtlético Calatayud
1.2
Goals+0.4
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
CD Baztán to score81%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Atlético Calatayud to score70%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

CD Baztán
52%
to score before half-time
Atlético Calatayud
42%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won CD Baztán vs Atlético Calatayud?

Atlético Calatayud beat CD Baztán 2–1. Bawler's model favoured CD Baztán at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Atlético Calatayud 27%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. CD Baztán had 4 shots (2 on target) to Atlético Calatayud's 5 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%.

What was the final score in CD Baztán vs Atlético Calatayud?

CD Baztán 1–2 Atlético Calatayud, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the Spain: Copa del Rey. Bawler's model had gone into it with CD Baztán 47%, the draw 26% and Atlético Calatayud 27%.

What were the stats in CD Baztán vs Atlético Calatayud?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Shots 4–5, Shots on target 2–2, Corners 9–1, Offsides 0–0.

Did both teams score in CD Baztán vs Atlético Calatayud?

Yes — both CD Baztán and Atlético Calatayud scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for CD Baztán vs Atlético Calatayud right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said CD Baztán or draw 73%, it finished Atlético Calatayud won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Atlético Calatayud
Before this
26 SeptHCD Baztán2–0 W
All fixtures & results →CD Baztán form →Atlético Calatayud form →