FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 06 September 2026
Cercle Brugge KSV 0–3 KAA GentMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 06 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Cercle Brugge KSV or draw at 66%. Bawler had Cercle Brugge KSV at 42%, the draw at 24% and KAA Gent at 34%. The match finished 0–3.
Pre-match probability vs result
Cercle Brugge KSV win
42%
Draw
24%
KAA Gent win
34%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.6
Total 3.3
Actual
0 – 3
Total 3 (−0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.5 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 3.3.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 84%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 24%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Over 1.5 Goals stands at 84% because Cercle Brugge's 1.76 xG combined with Gent's 1.56 projects a fixture tilted toward multiple scores despite the home side's narrow 8-point lead in the table."