KAA Gent beat Cercle Brugge KSV 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 34%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Cercle Brugge KSV had 9 shots (1 on target) to KAA Gent's 9 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
KAA Gent beat Cercle Brugge KSV 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 34%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Cercle Brugge KSV had 9 shots (1 on target) to KAA Gent's 9 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.2.
Cercle Brugge KSV 0–3 KAA Gent, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cercle Brugge KSV 42%, the draw 24% and KAA Gent 34%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.2, Shots 9–9, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 1–1, Corners 8–0, Saves 1–1, Fouls 15–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–0.
No. It finished 0–3, so Cercle Brugge KSV failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cercle Brugge KSV or draw 66%, it finished KAA Gent won (34% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.