Ceuta 6 de Junio vs UB Lebrijana prediction — Copa del Rey · Sat 3 Oct · 17:00 UK

Copa del Rey · Sat 3 Oct · 17:00 UK
Ceuta 6 de Junio 47Draw 26UB Lebrijana 28
Our call before kickoff
72%
Ceuta 6 de Junio or draw
Missed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

UB Lebrijana beat Ceuta 6 de Junio 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Ceuta 6 de Junio at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave UB Lebrijana 28%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Ceuta 6 de Junio had 3 shots (1 on target) to UB Lebrijana's 10 (3), with 44% of the ball against 56%.

Ceuta 6 de…Full-time statsUB Lebrijana
44%Possession56%
3Shots10
1Shots on target3
3Corners7
0Offsides0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCeuta 6 de Junio or draw 72%UB Lebrijana won (28% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Ceuta 6 de JunioUB Lebrijana
1.7
Goals+0.4
1.2
Ceuta 6 de JunioUB Lebrijana
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
Ceuta 6 de JunioUB Lebrijana
1.1
Goals+0.3
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Ceuta 6 de Junio to score81%
Over 1.5 goals78%
UB Lebrijana to score71%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Ceuta 6 de Junio
52%
to score before half-time
UB Lebrijana
42%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Ceuta 6 de Junio vs UB Lebrijana?

UB Lebrijana beat Ceuta 6 de Junio 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Ceuta 6 de Junio at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave UB Lebrijana 28%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Ceuta 6 de Junio had 3 shots (1 on target) to UB Lebrijana's 10 (3), with 44% of the ball against 56%.

What was the final score in Ceuta 6 de Junio vs UB Lebrijana?

Ceuta 6 de Junio 1–2 UB Lebrijana, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the Spain: Copa del Rey. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ceuta 6 de Junio 47%, the draw 26% and UB Lebrijana 28%.

What were the stats in Ceuta 6 de Junio vs UB Lebrijana?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Shots 3–10, Shots on target 1–3, Corners 3–7, Offsides 0–0.

Did both teams score in Ceuta 6 de Junio vs UB Lebrijana?

Yes — both Ceuta 6 de Junio and UB Lebrijana scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Ceuta 6 de Junio vs UB Lebrijana right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ceuta 6 de Junio or draw 72%, it finished UB Lebrijana won (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Ceuta 6 de Junio
Before this
26 SeptAUB Lebrijana0–5 L
UB Lebrijana
Before this
26 SeptHCeuta 6 de Junio5–0 W
All fixtures & results →Ceuta 6 de Junio form →UB Lebrijana form →