FT · England: Championship · Wednesday, 09 September 2026

Charlton Athletic 0–0 Queens Park RangersMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 09 September 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Queens Park Rangers or draw at 64%. Bawler had Charlton Athletic at 36%, the draw at 28% and Queens Park Rangers at 36%. The match finished 0–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Charlton Athletic win
36%
Draw
28%
Result
Queens Park Rangers win
36%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.3 – 1.3
Total 2.5
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.5 against our forecast)

The match produced 2.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Charlton Athletic or draw
Pre-match: 64%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 25%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Charlton's survival desperation against a QPR side with nothing left to play for tilts the model toward a home result or draw, projecting Charlton Athletic or draw at 67% despite an xG gap of just 0.10 goals."

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