FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Club Brugge 3–1 AntwerpMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Club Brugge to win at 67%. Bawler had Club Brugge at 67%, the draw at 19% and Antwerp at 14%. The match finished 3–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Club Brugge win
67%
Result
Draw
19%
Antwerp win
14%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.4 – 1.0
Total 3.4
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.9 – 2.1
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 3.4.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Club Brugge to win
Pre-match: 67%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Club Brugge's home win lands as the high-confidence call on a 1.34 expected-goals advantage that projects 67% win probability against a Antwerp side managing just 1.03 xG."