Bawler / Belgium: Pro League / Club Brugge
Team profile

Club Brugge Prediction

Per-game numbers from 56 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
17.0
a game
13.5 faced
On target
6.2
a game
4.2 faced
Goals
2.3 – 1.3
scored – conceded
a game, 56 matches
Next match
57%
Club Brugge win chance
vs Cercle Brugge · Sun 23 Aug 16:30

Club Brugge prediction: for Club Brugge's next match — Club Brugge vs Cercle Brugge on Sunday 23 Aug, 16:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Club Brugge win looks most likely (57%).

Club Brugge are the most complete profile in this data: creating 1.92 expected goals a game while giving up just 1.35. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 3.63 a game against 1.92 expected. Form is with them: 3 straight wins. Next up is Cercle Brugge KSV, where the model makes them clear favourites at 57%.

Club Brugge in numbers

56 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
Home 2.9Away 1.7
6.0
Corners · per game
give up 4.6
Home 6.4Away 5.5
17.0
Shots · per game
faced 13.5
Home 19.5Away 14.2
6.2
On target · per game
faced 4.2
Home 7.3Away 4.9
Last 6 games
15 Aug
3-0
@ Leuven
16-4
07 Aug
3-0
vs Kortrijk
6-1
07 Aug
3-0
vs KV Kortrijk
6-1
31 Jul
1-2
vs Royale Union SG
8-2
24 May
5-0
vs Gent
5-8
24 May
5-0
vs KAA Gent
5-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Cercle Brugge · Sunday 23 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Win
57%
Club Brugge
Draw
25%
Loss
19%
Opponent
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Club Brugge compare with the Belgium: Pro League average, per match.

Goals for
1.92
Above average
Goals against
1.35
Tighter than most
Record
7W 1D 0L
8 settled
Real goals
3.6 – 0.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.92
Conceded1.35

The grey line on each bar is the Belgium: Pro League average (1.57 scored, 1.64 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.92 xG per match · +0.35 above the Belgium: Pro League average of 1.57.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.35 xG per match · -0.29 vs league average of 1.64.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Club Brugge fixtures (8/8).
On a 3-match winning run
Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.

How Bawler has done on Club Brugge

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 8 of 8, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%8/8

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 8)

Sat 15 Aug@ OH Leuven
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 07 Augvs KV Kortrijk
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 24 Mayvs KAA Gent
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 21 May@ KV Mechelen
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs Union St.-Gilloise
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 03 May@ Anderlecht
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Mon 06 Aprvs Anderlecht
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 22 Marvs KV Mechelen
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INJan VirgiliLWfrom Mallorca€12m
INFreddie PottsDMfrom West Ham United€10m
INHan-Beom LeeCBfrom FC Midtjylland€7m
INAndrej VasovicSTfrom Luzern€6m
INCheveyo TsawaCMfrom FC Zürich€6m
INYann SommerGKfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTChristos TzolisLWto Arsenal€40m
OUTAleksandar StankovicDMto Inter€23m
OUTRaphael OnyedikaDMto Eintracht Frankfurt€9m
OUTZaid Abner RomeroCBto Getafe€5m
OUTYanis MusuayiSTto Levante€3m
OUTLudovit ReisAMto Werder BremenFree transfer
OUTCisse SandraDMto Westerlo€1.5m
OUTShandre CampbellRWto KortrijkUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Club Brugge and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly