Comoros vs Senegal prediction — International friendlies · Sun 4 Oct · 14:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Sun 4 Oct · 14:00 UK · Neutral venue
Comoros 5Draw 13Senegal 83
Our call before kickoff
83%
Senegal to win
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
37%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
61%

How it finished

Senegal beat Comoros 1–0. Bawler's model had Senegal in front at 83% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSenegal to win 83%Senegal won (83% called)
Total goals3.21
Both teams to score37%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

ComorosSenegal
0.5
Goals+2.2
2.7
ComorosSenegal
0.2
Goals+0.5
0.7
ComorosSenegal
0.3
Goals+1.7
2.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Senegal to score93%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Both teams to score — no63%
Over 2.5 goals61%

First half — what we expected

Comoros
20%
to score before half-time
Senegal
69%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-2.2 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Comoros vs Senegal?

Senegal beat Comoros 1–0. Bawler's model had Senegal in front at 83% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored.

What was the final score in Comoros vs Senegal?

Comoros 0–1 Senegal, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Comoros 5%, the draw 13% and Senegal 83%.

Did both teams score in Comoros vs Senegal?

No. It finished 0–1, so Comoros failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 37% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Comoros vs Senegal right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Senegal to win 83%, it finished Senegal won (83% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 37%, it finished No.