Bawler / World: World Cup / Senegal
Team profile

Senegal Prediction

Per-game numbers from 4 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
22.0
a game
9.5 faced
On target
8.0
a game
4.0 faced
Goals
2.5 – 2.3
scored – conceded
a game, 4 matches
Corners
8.0
a game
4.0 against

Senegal prediction: Bawler's model rates Senegal at 1.42 expected goals scored and 1.39 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 80% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Senegal fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Senegal sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.42 expected goals a game and conceding 1.39. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.00 a game against 1.42 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Senegal have been correct 80% of the time.

Senegal in numbers

4 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.5
Goals · per game
let in 2.3
Home 5.0Away 1.7
8.0
Corners · per game
give up 4.0
Home 12.0Away 4.0
22.0
Shots · per game
faced 9.5
Home 28.0Away 16.0
8.0
On target · per game
faced 4.0
Home 12.0Away 4.0
Last 4 games
01 Jul
2-3
@ Belgium
-
26 Jun
5-0
vs Iraq
12-3
23 Jun
2-3
@ Norway
4-5
16 Jun
1-3
@ France
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Senegal compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.42
Above average
Goals against
1.39
Leakier than most
Record
1W 1D 3L
5 settled
Real goals
2.0 – 1.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.42
Conceded1.39

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Senegal fixtures (4/5).

How Bawler has done on Senegal

80%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)80%4/5

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

More on Senegal and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly