World: World CupThursday 25 Jun, 20:00 UTC

Curaçao vIvory Coast

Most likely scoreline
0–2
16% of the time · 3.11 goals expected
Curaçao 3%Draw 14%Ivory Coast 83%
Strongest call
Ivory Coast to win
88%

Ivory Coast's Away Win dominates at 83% probability, built on a crushing 2.24 xG advantage led by striker Sébastien Haller's creation of 22% of team chances.

How we get there
CuraçaostepIvory Coast
0.44Base xG · rolling 26-match2.67
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
0.44Final goal estimate — what the model uses2.67
Most likely outcomes
Ivory Coast to win
88%
Under 2.5 goals
19%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Ivory Coast average 4.5 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
12
16
14
9
5
2
1
2
5
7
6
4
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
3
4
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Curaçao fixtures & form →Ivory Coast fixtures & form →

Curaçao vs Ivory Coast — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Curaçao and Ivory Coast — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Curaçao 3% · draw 14% · Ivory Coast 83%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Curaçao predictions & form →Ivory Coast predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Curaçao 0–2 Ivory Coast
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.