World: World CupThursday 18 Jun, 16:00 UTC

Czechia vSouth Africa

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.41 goals expected
Czechia 39%Draw 34%South Africa 28%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
69%

Over 1.5 Goals at 69% is the play here—combined xG of 2.41 and Czechia's 1.32 edge at home project a low-scoring but open fixture where at least two goals land.

How we get there
CzechiastepSouth Africa
1.32Base xG · rolling 26-match1.08
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.32Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.08
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
69%
South Africa or draw
53%
South Africa to win
27%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9
10
5
2
1
1
12
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
3
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

Most likely to score or assist

To score
Lyle Foster
South Africa · Burnley
36%

Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.

More predictions for these teams

Czechia vs South Africa — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Czechia and South Africa — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Czechia 39% · draw 34% · South Africa 28%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Czechia 11 South Africa
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.