Dominica vs Anguilla prediction — International friendlies · Mon 21 Sept · 16:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Mon 21 Sept · 16:00 UK · Neutral venue
Dominica 47Draw 26Anguilla 27
Our call before kickoff
73%
Dominica or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
70%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
51%

How it finished

Dominica beat Anguilla 1–0. Bawler's model had Dominica in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callDominica or draw 73%Dominica won (47% called)
Total goals2.71
Both teams to score54%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 76%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

DominicaAnguilla
1.6
Goals+0.4
1.1
DominicaAnguilla
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
DominicaAnguilla
1.1
Goals+0.3
0.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Dominica to score80%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals71%
Anguilla to score68%

First half — what we expected

Dominica
50%
to score before half-time
Anguilla
40%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Dominica vs Anguilla?

Dominica beat Anguilla 1–0. Bawler's model had Dominica in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored.

What was the final score in Dominica vs Anguilla?

Dominica 1–0 Anguilla, played on 21 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Dominica 47%, the draw 26% and Anguilla 27%.

Did both teams score in Dominica vs Anguilla?

No. It finished 1–0, so Anguilla failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Dominica vs Anguilla right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Dominica or draw 73%, it finished Dominica won (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed.