FT · EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification · Thursday, 13 August 2026
Egnatia 5–1 Shamrock RoversMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Thursday, 13 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Egnatia at 40%, draw at 28%, Shamrock Rovers at 32%. The match ended 5-1 — confirming the model's lean toward Egnatia.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Egnatia win
40%
Actual ✓
Draw
28%
Rovers win
32%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Egnatia or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost