EUROPE: Conference League - QualificationThursday 06 Aug, 18:30 UTC

FC Lugano vNSI Runavik

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
FC Lugano 40%Draw 28%NSI Runavik 32%
Strongest call
Under 3.5 goals
81%
How we get there
FC LuganostepNSI Runavik
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Under 3.5 goals
81%
FC Lugano or Draw
68%
FC Lugano Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Lugano average 7.3 corners per game at home this season (3 competitive matches). NSI Runavik average 5.5 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

FC Lugano fixtures & form →NSI Runavik fixtures & form →

Lugano vs NSI Runavik — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Lugano and NSI Runavik — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Lugano 40% · draw 28% · NSI Runavik 32%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Lugano predictions & form →NSI Runavik predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
FC Lugano 2–0 NSI Runavik
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.