EUROPE: Europa League - QualificationWednesday 05 Aug, 18:15 UTC

Ferencvaros vGornik Zabrze

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Ferencvaros 40%Draw 28%Gornik Zabrze 32%
Strongest call
Ferencvaros or Draw
68%
How we get there
FerencvarosstepGornik Zabrze
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Ferencvaros or Draw
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Ferencvaros Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Ferencvaros average 3.6 corners per game at home this season (8 competitive matches). Gornik Zabrze average 4.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Ferencvaros vs Gornik Zabrze — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Ferencvaros and Gornik Zabrze — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Ferencvaros 40% · draw 28% · Gornik Zabrze 32%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Ferencvaros 10 Gornik Zabrze
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.