FT · NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Feyenoord Rotterdam 2–2 ADO Den HaagMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Feyenoord Rotterdam to win at 79%. Bawler had Feyenoord Rotterdam at 79%, the draw at 14% and ADO Den Haag at 7%. The match finished 2–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Feyenoord Rotterdam win
79%
Draw
14%
Result
ADO Den Haag win
7%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.9 – 0.8
Total 3.7
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.5 – 0.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 3.7.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win
Pre-match: 79%
Missed
Medium confidence
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 50%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.