FT · NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Fortuna Sittard 3–1 SC CambuurMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Fortuna Sittard
3–1
Fortuna Sittard win
SC Cambuur

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Fortuna Sittard or draw at 72%. Bawler had Fortuna Sittard at 42%, the draw at 30% and SC Cambuur at 28%. The match finished 3–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

Fortuna Sittard win
42%
Result
Draw
30%
SC Cambuur win
28%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.6 – 1.3
Total 2.8
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 2.5
From the match itself

The match produced 1.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 84%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 26%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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