Fortuna Sittard beat SC Cambuur 3–1. Bawler's model had Fortuna Sittard in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Fortuna Sittard had 17 shots (7 on target) to SC Cambuur's 19 (7), with 36% of the ball against 64%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 2.5, so SC Cambuur created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Fortuna Sittard beat SC Cambuur 3–1. Bawler's model had Fortuna Sittard in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Fortuna Sittard had 17 shots (7 on target) to SC Cambuur's 19 (7), with 36% of the ball against 64%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 2.5, so SC Cambuur created the better chances and still lost the game.
Fortuna Sittard 3–1 SC Cambuur, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fortuna Sittard 42%, the draw 30% and SC Cambuur 28%.
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–2.5, Shots 17–19, Shots on target 7–7, Shots inside box 11–16, Big chances 1–4, Corners 6–7, Saves 6–4, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 0–2.
Yes — both Fortuna Sittard and SC Cambuur scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fortuna Sittard or draw 72%, it finished Fortuna Sittard won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.