FT · TURKEY: Super Lig · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Gaziantep FK 1–1 AlanyasporMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Gaziantep FK or draw at 78%. Bawler had Gaziantep FK at 47%, the draw at 31% and Alanyaspor at 22%. The match finished 1–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Gaziantep FK win
47%
Draw
31%
Result
Alanyaspor win
22%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.0
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 2.6.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 76%
Landed
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 53%
Landed
Outside shot
Alanyaspor or draw
Pre-match: 28%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.