TURKEY: Super LigSaturday 15 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Gaziantep FK vAlanyaspor

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Gaziantep FK 47%Draw 31%Alanyaspor 22%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
76%
How we get there
Gaziantep FKstepAlanyaspor
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
Alanyaspor or draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Gaziantep average 6.2 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Alanyaspor average 3.9 corners per game away from home this season (18 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Gaziantep and Alanyaspor — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Gaziantep 47% · draw 31% · Alanyaspor 22%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Gaziantep FK 11 Alanyaspor
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.