Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 15 Aug · 19:30 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 15 Aug · 19:30 UK
Gaziantep FK 47Draw 31Alanyaspor 22
Our call before kickoff
78%
Gaziantep FK or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
50%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
48%

How it finished

Gaziantep FK and Alanyaspor drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Gaziantep FK at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Gaziantep FK had 13 shots (5 on target) to Alanyaspor's 11 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.3.

Gaziantep FKFull-time statsAlanyaspor
61%Possession39%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.3
13Shots11
5Shots on target2
5Shots inside box6
2Big chances1
0Corners4
1Saves4
14Fouls21
3Offsides4
3Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGaziantep FK or draw 78%Draw (31% called)
Total goals2.62
Both teams to score50%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 76%Landed
Second pickUnder 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Gaziantep FKAlanyaspor
1.6
Goals+0.6
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Gaziantep FK to score79%
Under 3.5 goals74%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Alanyaspor to score63%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Alanyaspor in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

Gaziantep FK and Alanyaspor drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Gaziantep FK at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Gaziantep FK had 13 shots (5 on target) to Alanyaspor's 11 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

Gaziantep FK 1–1 Alanyaspor, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gaziantep FK 47%, the draw 31% and Alanyaspor 22%.

What were the stats in Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.3, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 5–6, Big chances 2–1, Corners 0–4, Saves 1–4, Fouls 14–21, Offsides 3–4, Yellow cards 3–3.

Did both teams score in Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

Yes — both Gaziantep FK and Alanyaspor scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Gaziantep FK or draw 78%, it finished Draw (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Gaziantep FK form →Alanyaspor form →