NETHERLANDS: EredivisieSaturday 08 Aug, 16:45 UTC

Go Ahead Eagles vWillem II

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Go Ahead Eagles 41%Draw 31%Willem II 28%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
75%
How we get there
Go Ahead EaglesstepWillem II
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Go Ahead Eagles to win
55%
Over 3.5 goals
22%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Go Ahead Eagles average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Willem II average 2.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Go Ahead Eagles fixtures & form →Willem II fixtures & form →

Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Go Ahead Eagles and Willem II — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Go Ahead Eagles 41% · draw 31% · Willem II 28%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Go Ahead Eagles predictions & form →Willem II predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Willem II
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.