FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 13 August 2026
Hammarby IF 0–1 Raków CzestochowaMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Thursday, 13 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Hammarby IF at 40%, draw at 28%, Raków Czestochowa at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-1. The model's headline call was Hammarby IF to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
IF win
40%
Draw
28%
Czestochowa win
32%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Hammarby IF or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost