Before kickoff our call was Iceland to win at 75%. Bawler had Iceland at 75%, the draw at 16% and Estonia at 9%. The match finished 1–1.
The match produced 1.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.