How it finished
India and Panama drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Panama at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. India had 8 shots (3 on target) to Panama's 15 (7), with 37% of the ball against 63%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won India vs Panama?
India and Panama drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Panama at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. India had 8 shots (3 on target) to Panama's 15 (7), with 37% of the ball against 63%.
What was the final score in India vs Panama?
India 1–1 Panama, played on 25 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with India 18%, the draw 23% and Panama 59%.
What were the stats in India vs Panama?
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Shots 8–15, Shots on target 3–7, Corners 4–7.
Did both teams score in India vs Panama?
Yes — both India and Panama scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for India vs Panama right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Panama or draw 82%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes.