Before kickoff our call was Italy to win at 61%. Bawler had Italy at 61%, the draw at 22% and Türkiye at 17%. The match finished 3–1.
The match produced 0.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.