How it finished
Italy beat Türkiye 3–1. Bawler's model had Italy in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Italy vs Türkiye?
Italy beat Türkiye 3–1. Bawler's model had Italy in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4.
What was the final score in Italy vs Türkiye?
Italy 3–1 Türkiye, played on 05 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Italy 61%, the draw 22% and Türkiye 17%.
Did both teams score in Italy vs Türkiye?
Yes — both Italy and Türkiye scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Italy vs Türkiye right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Italy to win 61%, it finished Italy won (61% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes.