FT · EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Kairat Almaty 0–3 AnderlechtMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Anderlecht or draw at 72%. Bawler had Kairat Almaty at 28%, the draw at 26% and Anderlecht at 47%. The match finished 0–3.
Pre-match probability vs result
Kairat Almaty win
28%
Draw
26%
Anderlecht win
47%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.6
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 3
Total 3 (+0.1 against our forecast)
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 2.9.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 78%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 55%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.