EUROPE: Champions League - QualificationTuesday 11 Aug, 15:00 UTC

Kairat Almaty vLevski Sofia

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Kairat Almaty 40%Draw 28%Levski Sofia 32%
Strongest call
Kairat Almaty or Draw
68%
How we get there
Kairat AlmatystepLevski Sofia
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Kairat Almaty or Draw
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Kairat Almaty Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Kairat Almaty average 4.3 corners per game at home this season (6 competitive matches). Levski Sofia average 5.7 corners per game this season (3 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Kairat Almaty and Levski Sofia — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Kairat Almaty 40% · draw 28% · Levski Sofia 32%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Kairat Almaty 01 Levski Sofia
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.