FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Friday, 18 September 2026
Kasimpasa 0–0 KonyasporMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 18 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Kasimpasa or draw at 68%. Bawler had Kasimpasa at 40%, the draw at 28% and Konyaspor at 32%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Kasimpasa win
40%
Draw
28%
Result
Konyaspor win
32%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.2
Total 2.5
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 2.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 72%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 25%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Kasimpasa's narrow expected-goals edge (1.36 to 1.19) and home advantage underpin a 72% forecast for Over 1.5 Goals, as both sides project sufficient attacking threat despite the tight underlying metrics."