FT · TURKEY: Super Lig · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Konyaspor 0–1 Caykur RizesporMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Konyaspor or draw at 74%. Bawler had Konyaspor at 42%, the draw at 32% and Caykur Rizespor at 26%. The match finished 0–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Konyaspor win
42%
Draw
32%
Caykur Rizespor win
26%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.1
Total 2.7
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.5 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced 1.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 77%
Missed
Medium confidence
Not both teams to score
Pre-match: 53%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 21%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.