Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 20:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 20:00 UK
Larne 36Draw 28Lincoln Red Imps 36
Our call before kickoff
64%
Larne or draw
Missed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–3
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
48%

How it finished

Lincoln Red Imps beat Larne 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Larne at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln Red Imps 36%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Larne had 10 shots (2 on target) to Lincoln Red Imps' 14 (8), with 42% of the ball against 58%.

LarneFull-time statsLincoln Red…
42%Possession58%
10Shots14
2Shots on target8
7Corners7
12Fouls11
0Offsides0
4Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLarne or draw 64%Lincoln Red Imps won (36% called)
Total goals2.63
Both teams to score53%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 73%Landed
Second pickUnder 2.5 goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LarneLincoln Red Imps
1.3
Goals
1.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals74%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Larne to score73%
Lincoln Red Imps to score73%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Larne 1 · Draws 0 · Lincoln Red Imps 1

Head to head

Aug 2024Larne 3–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC
Aug 2024Lincoln Red Imps FC 2–1 Larne
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Lincoln Red Imps beat Larne 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Larne at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln Red Imps 36%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Larne had 10 shots (2 on target) to Lincoln Red Imps' 14 (8), with 42% of the ball against 58%.

What was the final score in Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Larne 0–3 Lincoln Red Imps, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Larne 36%, the draw 28% and Lincoln Red Imps 36%.

What were the stats in Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Shots 10–14, Shots on target 2–8, Corners 7–7, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 4–3, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps?

No. It finished 0–3, so Larne failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Larne or draw 64%, it finished Lincoln Red Imps won (36% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Larne form →Lincoln Red Imps form →