FT · World: International Friendly · Monday, 05 October 2026

Liechtenstein 0–2 GibraltarMatch recap & how our call landed · Monday, 05 October 2026

Liechtenstein
0–2
Gibraltar win
Gibraltar

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Gibraltar or draw at 69%. Bawler had Liechtenstein at 31%, the draw at 29% and Gibraltar at 40%. The match finished 0–2.

Pre-match probability vs result

Liechtenstein win
31%
Draw
29%
Gibraltar win
40%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.1 – 1.3
Total 2.5
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−0.5 against our forecast)

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.5 of our 2.5.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 71%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 24%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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