Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar prediction — International friendlies · Mon 5 Oct · 19:45 UK

International friendlies · Mon 5 Oct · 19:45 UK
Liechtenstein 31Draw 29Gibraltar 40
Our call before kickoff
69%
Gibraltar or draw
Landed
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
66%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
50%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
45%

How it finished

Gibraltar beat Liechtenstein 2–0. Bawler's model had Gibraltar in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Liechtenstein had 7 shots (2 on target) to Gibraltar's 11 (8), with 40% of the ball against 60%.

LiechtensteinFull-time statsGibraltar
40%Possession60%
7Shots11
2Shots on target8
1Corners4
17Fouls12
1Offsides2
5Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGibraltar or draw 69%Gibraltar won (40% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score50%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 71%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LiechtensteinGibraltar
1.1
Goals+0.2
1.3
LiechtensteinGibraltar
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.4
LiechtensteinGibraltar
0.7
Goals+0.1
0.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Gibraltar to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Liechtenstein to score68%

First half — what we expected

Liechtenstein
39%
to score before half-time
Gibraltar
45%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Liechtenstein 0 · Draws 3 · Gibraltar 2

Head to head

Oct 2024Liechtenstein 0–0 Gibraltar
Sept 2024Gibraltar 2–2 Liechtenstein
Nov 2022Gibraltar 2–0 Liechtenstein
Nov 2020Gibraltar 1–1 Liechtenstein
Oct 2020Liechtenstein 0–1 Gibraltar
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar?

Gibraltar beat Liechtenstein 2–0. Bawler's model had Gibraltar in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Liechtenstein had 7 shots (2 on target) to Gibraltar's 11 (8), with 40% of the ball against 60%.

What was the final score in Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar?

Liechtenstein 0–2 Gibraltar, played on 05 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Liechtenstein 31%, the draw 29% and Gibraltar 40%.

What were the stats in Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar?

Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Shots 7–11, Shots on target 2–8, Corners 1–4, Fouls 17–12, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 5–3.

Did both teams score in Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar?

No. It finished 0–2, so Liechtenstein failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Gibraltar or draw 69%, it finished Gibraltar won (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 71%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Liechtenstein form →Gibraltar form →