Before kickoff our call was Lithuania or draw at 69%. Bawler had Lithuania at 46%, the draw at 23% and Azerbaijan at 31%. The match finished 1–1.
The match produced 1.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.